Can XRP Price Hit $4 by February 2025? Key Factors to Watch

XRP price has been down more than 3% in the last 24 hours as momentum shows signs of slowing. While RSI has dropped below 40, indicating weakening strength, whale activity has remained stagnant, suggesting that large holders are not yet accumulating.

Additionally, EMA lines are nearing a potential death cross, which could lead to further downside if selling pressure increases. However, if XRP breaks key resistance levels and reclaims strong bullish momentum, it could set up for a rally toward $4 in February.

XRP RSI Is Currently Neutral, Below 40

XRP RSI is currently at 39.5, having remained in a neutral range since January 28, when it peaked at 58. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator that measures the strength of price movements on a scale from 0 to 100.

Readings above 70 indicate overbought conditions, often leading to a pullback, while levels below 30 suggest oversold conditions, where a rebound may be likely. A neutral RSI between 40 and 60 signals consolidation, where neither buyers nor sellers have clear dominance.

With XRP’s RSI nearing the oversold zone, it suggests weak momentum, which could lead to further downside if buying pressure does not increase.

However, for the XRP price to approach $4 in the coming weeks, the RSI would need to move back above 50, signaling renewed strength. That could happen with more positive developments around its ETF, or with a confirmed withdrawal of the SEC lawsuit.

A breakout above 60 would confirm bullish momentum, while a move past 70 could indicate an overheated rally. If RSI remains weak, XRP may struggle to maintain its current levels and could face further consolidation.

XRP Whales Are Moving Sideways Since January 21

The number of XRP whale addresses – those holding between 1 million and 10 million XRP – has remained stagnant since January 21. It has been fluctuating between 2,095 and 2,082, with the latest count at 2,083.

Tracking these large holders is crucial because whale accumulation often precedes strong price moves, as their buying or selling activity can significantly impact market liquidity and sentiment.

A rise in whale addresses suggests increasing confidence from large investors, while a decline may indicate reduced conviction or profit-taking.

For XRP price to reclaim $4 in February, whale accumulation would likely need to resume its upward trend, similar to early January, when the number of whales surged from 1,981 on January 4 to 2,080 on January 16. During that period, XRP’s price jumped from $2.41 to $3.4, marking a 41% increase.

If a similar pattern of accumulation occurs, it could signal renewed demand and fuel another rally. However, if the number of whales continues moving sideways, XRP price may struggle to gain the necessary momentum for a sustained breakout.

XRP Price Prediction: Can XRP Hit $4 In February?

XRP’s EMA lines indicate that a death cross could form soon, signaling potential downside momentum. If this bearish crossover happens, the XRP price may test support at $2.82. If that level fails, further declines toward $2.6 and $2.32 could follow.

In a more extreme scenario, if selling pressure remains strong and these supports are lost, XRP could drop as low as $1.99, marking its lowest level in 2025.

On the other hand, if XRP price tests and breaks the $3.03 resistance, it could regain bullish momentum and push toward $3.28 and $3.4.

A breakout above these levels could allow XRP price to test $4, representing a potential 33.3% upside from current levels.